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Futures side, the most-traded contract 2511 traded in the doldrums. At 10:30 am, SS2511 was quoted at 12,885 yuan/mt, down 45 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Wuxi spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B were in the range of 335-635 yuan/mt. In the spot market, Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil averaged 8,050 yuan/mt; cold-rolled mill-edge 304/2B coil averaged 13,200 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan; cold-rolled 316L/2B coil was 25,650 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil was quoted at 24,950 yuan/mt in both locations; cold-rolled 430/2B coil was 7,600 yuan/mt in both Wuxi and Foshan.
Despite the traditional September-October peak season, end-use demand for stainless steel did recover compared to earlier periods, but as stainless steel mill production increased simultaneously during the month, the stainless steel market did not show a significant strengthening trend. Market participants generally felt the overall atmosphere was sluggish, and the market did not exhibit the vibrant trading scene expected during the peak season. Although inventory gradually declined, stainless steel spot prices struggled to rise. This week, the US Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points, in line with previous market expectations. SS futures had already struggled to break through the previous bottleneck of 13,000 yuan/mt, and after the short-term macro tailwinds were realized, the futures turned downward. Downstream acceptance of high prices in the spot market was already low, and the pullback in futures prices further intensified wait-and-see sentiment. Additionally, cost side, further increases in nickel and chromium raw material prices encountered resistance. Although, in the short term, influenced by the traditional peak season, low social inventory, and pre-holiday stockpiling demand ahead of the National Day holiday, stainless steel prices are unlikely to see significant declines, the momentum for further increases has clearly weakened.
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